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Tuesday, April 2, 2019

Amazon just broke above a key level, and its all-time high may be next, technician says

Shares of Amazon are climbing back toward their all-time high of $2,050, and one technical analyst believes the stock may soon reach that level — and then blow through it.

Oppenheimer's Ari Wald said Monday on CNBC's "Trading Nation" that after the stock topped $1,730, which had been a key level of resistance, new highs are on the horizon.

"We think this is a resumption of the longer term uptrend that's still in play," he said. "Speaking in terms of levels, the near-term breakout through the 200-day is now support at $1,730, and with the resumption of that long-term uptrend, we expect new highs above $2,000 level resistance."

He added that the stock's moving average convergence-divergence is tacking higher from its most oversold condition since 2014. (The MACD is a technical indicator that chart watchers use to help anticipate changes in a stock's path.)

Wald also said the broader economic backdrop creates favorable conditions for the e-commerce giant. As global growth slows, he believes investors will continue to place a premium on high-growth, large-cap companies like Amazon.

Shares of Amazon gained nearly 2 percent on Monday after Wald's colleagues at Oppenheimer reiterated their outperform rating on the stock, and raised their price target to $2,085. Monday's move brings its gain to roughly 20 percent for the year, and the stock is now about 11 percent from September's all-time high.

Chantico Global CEO Gina Sanchez contends that Amazon also looks good from a fundamental perspective, noting that the company's multi-industry dominance should lead to continued growth.

"I think that Amazon was one of those companies that put one foot in front of the other for a very long time. And then in 2018, [it] really hit its earnings stride … and now it's threatening industry after industry after industry. So I do think that the fundamental story is very solid for Amazon," she said on the CNBC segment.

Sanchez's one issue with Amazon is its valuation. Shares of the Seattle-based company currently trade at 59 times forward earnings, which Sanchez calls its "Achilles' heel." But apart from that, she believes Amazon "has a great story."

— Disclosure: Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. makes a market in the securities of AMZN.

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