Tech stocks are getting slammed, but other parts of the market are holding up much better.
The Nasdaq is having its worst month since January 2016. But while Wednesday's drop was large, for much of the tech sector, this was the culmination of a months-long sell-off.
FAANG stocks, for example, hit their highs as a group in June. Four of the five FAANG names are in correction territory, with Facebook sliding the most at 31 percent from its 52-week high. Apple is the relative winner of this group, down only 7 percent from its 52-week high.
(from 52-week highs)
Facebook: down 31 percent
Netflix: down 23 percent
Google parent Alphabet: down 15 percent
Amazon: down 14 percent
Apple: down 7 percent
Source: CNBC
Semiconductors are another example. They hit their highs in March. Big names like Lam Research, Micron, Advanced Micro Devices and even Intel are 20 percent or more off their 52-week highs.
(from 52-week highs)
Lam Research: down 40 percent
Micron: down 36 percent
AMD: down 27 percent
Intel: down 22 percent
Source: CNBC
But some big software companies held up relatively well until a few weeks ago, and then they, too, turned south. Salesforce, Adobe and Oracle are more than 10 percent off their highs, while Microsoft is down only 8 percent.
We have been transitioning from a decade of a low growth, low yield environment, one in which it paid to buy technology stocks because tech was one of the only sectors with significant growth. Now, we are moving into a higher growth, higher yield world, in which paying any price for growth may not be as attractive as it used to be. Now, value stocks may be more attractive than growth, and Treasurys are starting to look more attractive versus stocks.
It's important to keep perspective. Tech is still up 11 percent this year, and Apple, Microsoft and Cisco are all up 20 percent or more this year.
There's a lot being made about this "rolling correction." It's true, it's broader than tech. Some 60 percent of the companies in the S&P 500 are in correction territory, which means they are down 10 percent or more from their 52-week highs. More than 25 percent are in bear market territory, which means they are down 20 percent or more from recent highs.
The world is changing. Value stocks are cheaper and have mostly lagged the market. But if you look at the current leaders, the sectors that are the least off their 52-week highs all have a defensive, value-oriented tilt.
(from 52-week highs)
Health Care: down 3 percent
Utilities: down 4 percent
Energy: down 4 percent
Real Estate: down 6 percent
Cons. staples: down 9 percent
Source: CNBC
What's this all mean for earning season, which starts on Friday with J. P. Morgan? It makes it a lot more complicated. Six months ago we were dealing with tax cuts and a rapidly expanding economy, and not much else. We still have a strong economy and the tax cuts, but the picture is much more complicated. We are dealing with higher interest rates, higher raw material costs, higher wages, weaker foreign currencies, tariffs and a potentially weaker Chinese economy.
That's a lot of moving parts for traders to digest.
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